Trader sentiment for the 2026 Men’s Miami Open winner reflects a razor-thin lead for Gabriel Diallo at 48% implied probability, with Damir Dzumhur (47%) and Brandon Nakashima (46%) nipping at his heels alongside Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Sebastian Korda near 45-46%, highlighting deep ATP parity on hard courts. This tightness stems from mid-tier surges—Diallo's recent Challenger titles and top-100 climb, Nakashima's baseline steadiness post-injury, and Dzumhur's gritty veteran play—offsetting top seeds like Carlos Alcaraz (41.5%) and Jannik Sinner (40.5%), whose Miami records show vulnerability to upsets. With 18 months out, no injuries or form locks dominate, keeping trader consensus volatile amid rest advantages and draw uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'Open de Miami Hommes 2026
Vainqueur de l'Open de Miami Hommes 2026
Gabriel Diallo 95%
Damir Dzumhur 95%
Brandon Nakashima 91%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 90%
$18,161 Vol.
$18,161 Vol.
Gabriel Diallo
95%
Damir Dzumhur
95%
Brandon Nakashima
91%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
90%
Sebastian Korda
88%
Corentin Moutet
82%
Arthur Rinderknech
81%
Taylor Fritz
51%
Jakub Mensik
51%
Karen Khachanov
51%
Frances Tiafoe
51%
Arthur Cazaux
49%
Martin Damm
49%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
41%
Kamil Majchrzak
48%
Alejandro Tabilo
48%
Marton Fucsovics
47%
Ugo Humbert
45%
Alex Michelsen
45%
Tommy Paul
41%
Terence Atmane
38%
Jiri Lehecka
30%
Valentin Vacherot
29%
Quentin Halys
29%
Arthur Fils
27%
Raphael Collignon
27%
Ben Shelton
26%
Francisco Cerundolo
26%
Marin Cilic
26%
Ethan Quinn
26%
Matteo Berrettini
20%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
16%
Daniil Medvedev
15%
Andrey Rublev
10%
Cameron Norrie
10%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
Learner Tien
1%
Tomas Machac
1%
Rei Sakamoto
1%
Gabriel Diallo 95%
Damir Dzumhur 95%
Brandon Nakashima 91%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 90%
$18,161 Vol.
$18,161 Vol.
Gabriel Diallo
95%
Damir Dzumhur
95%
Brandon Nakashima
91%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
90%
Sebastian Korda
88%
Corentin Moutet
82%
Arthur Rinderknech
81%
Taylor Fritz
51%
Jakub Mensik
51%
Karen Khachanov
51%
Frances Tiafoe
51%
Arthur Cazaux
49%
Martin Damm
49%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
41%
Kamil Majchrzak
48%
Alejandro Tabilo
48%
Marton Fucsovics
47%
Ugo Humbert
45%
Alex Michelsen
45%
Tommy Paul
41%
Terence Atmane
38%
Jiri Lehecka
30%
Valentin Vacherot
29%
Quentin Halys
29%
Arthur Fils
27%
Raphael Collignon
27%
Ben Shelton
26%
Francisco Cerundolo
26%
Marin Cilic
26%
Ethan Quinn
26%
Matteo Berrettini
20%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
16%
Daniil Medvedev
15%
Andrey Rublev
10%
Cameron Norrie
10%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
Learner Tien
1%
Tomas Machac
1%
Rei Sakamoto
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the 2026 Men’s Miami Open winner reflects a razor-thin lead for Gabriel Diallo at 48% implied probability, with Damir Dzumhur (47%) and Brandon Nakashima (46%) nipping at his heels alongside Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Sebastian Korda near 45-46%, highlighting deep ATP parity on hard courts. This tightness stems from mid-tier surges—Diallo's recent Challenger titles and top-100 climb, Nakashima's baseline steadiness post-injury, and Dzumhur's gritty veteran play—offsetting top seeds like Carlos Alcaraz (41.5%) and Jannik Sinner (40.5%), whose Miami records show vulnerability to upsets. With 18 months out, no injuries or form locks dominate, keeping trader consensus volatile amid rest advantages and draw uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes