Roger Federer’s retirement from professional tennis following the 2022 Laver Cup continues to anchor the overwhelming trader consensus against his participation in the grass-court Grand Slam. The eight-time Wimbledon champion has not contested an ATP Tour match or entered a major draw since turning 41, and at age 44 he has focused instead on occasional exhibitions without pursuing ranking points or competitive preparation. Recent spectator appearances in the Royal Box at Wimbledon 2025 and comments about possible 2026 exhibition events have not altered market pricing, as no official entry, wildcard, or training indicators point to a return. While a surprise late acceptance or special exemption remains theoretically possible, the absence of recent form, physical readiness for best-of-five sets, and any ATP comeback signals keeps implied probabilities near certainty for non-participation.