Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 25.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon, propelled by her Indian Wells title two weeks ago—saving a championship point against Elena Rybakina in the final—and ongoing Miami Open run as world No. 1, with her explosive serve and flat groundstrokes thriving on grass. Rybakina (16.0%), the 2022 champion and recent Australian Open winner, trails closely despite her Indian Wells runner-up finish and early Miami exit, bolstered by her towering serve and big-match poise on fast surfaces. Iga Świątek (16.4%), the 2025 grass-court standout now ranked No. 3, lags after a prompt Miami knockout, highlighting lingering adaptation challenges despite improved net play. Rising teen Victoria Mboko (8.5%, No. 9) garners attention from her Indian Wells semifinal run, injecting youth into a wide-open draw favoring power over finesse on Wimbledon's slick lawns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 17.2%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.4%
$3,455,986 Vol.
$3,455,986 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
17%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Ons Jabeur
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 17.2%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.4%
$3,455,986 Vol.
$3,455,986 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
17%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Ons Jabeur
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 25.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon, propelled by her Indian Wells title two weeks ago—saving a championship point against Elena Rybakina in the final—and ongoing Miami Open run as world No. 1, with her explosive serve and flat groundstrokes thriving on grass. Rybakina (16.0%), the 2022 champion and recent Australian Open winner, trails closely despite her Indian Wells runner-up finish and early Miami exit, bolstered by her towering serve and big-match poise on fast surfaces. Iga Świątek (16.4%), the 2025 grass-court standout now ranked No. 3, lags after a prompt Miami knockout, highlighting lingering adaptation challenges despite improved net play. Rising teen Victoria Mboko (8.5%, No. 9) garners attention from her Indian Wells semifinal run, injecting youth into a wide-open draw favoring power over finesse on Wimbledon's slick lawns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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