Trader consensus pins Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25.5% implied probability, her explosive serve and flat groundstrokes suiting grass perfectly after runner-up finishes in 2021 and 2023, though recent shoulder issues temper enthusiasm. Elena Rybakina (18.5%) lurks close with her 2022 title and dominant serving on the surface, while Iga Świątek's (16.4%) all-court mastery and top ranking persist despite grass inconsistencies, as seen in her 2024 third-round exit. The bunching stems from injury volatility, no entrenched grass queen post-Krejčíková's surprise 2024 win, and rising threats like teen sensation Victoria Mboko (4.9%), whose recent upsets fuel breakout hype amid two years of form flux and roster evolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 26%
Elena Rybakina 19%
Iga Świątek 16.4%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$2,813,019 Vol.
$2,813,019 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Elena Rybakina 19%
Iga Świątek 16.4%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$2,813,019 Vol.
$2,813,019 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25.5% implied probability, her explosive serve and flat groundstrokes suiting grass perfectly after runner-up finishes in 2021 and 2023, though recent shoulder issues temper enthusiasm. Elena Rybakina (18.5%) lurks close with her 2022 title and dominant serving on the surface, while Iga Świątek's (16.4%) all-court mastery and top ranking persist despite grass inconsistencies, as seen in her 2024 third-round exit. The bunching stems from injury volatility, no entrenched grass queen post-Krejčíková's surprise 2024 win, and rising threats like teen sensation Victoria Mboko (4.9%), whose recent upsets fuel breakout hype amid two years of form flux and roster evolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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