Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, driven by her explosive serve and power game that thrives on grass, evidenced by her 2023 final run and consistent deep tournament advances on the surface. Iga Świątek trails at 16.3% despite world No. 1 dominance, hampered by historical grass struggles—her best Wimbledon is a quarterfinal—though recent improvements signal potential upside. Elena Rybakina's 16.0% reflects her 2022 title and flat-hitting efficiency on fast courts, positioning her as a proven threat. The wide-open field, with no player above 26%, underscores injury volatility, young risers like Victoria Mboko (5.5%) gaining hype from junior breakthroughs, and momentum shifts favoring power over finesse in recent grass swings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$1,655,942 Vol.
$1,655,942 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 5.5%
$1,655,942 Vol.
$1,655,942 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, driven by her explosive serve and power game that thrives on grass, evidenced by her 2023 final run and consistent deep tournament advances on the surface. Iga Świątek trails at 16.3% despite world No. 1 dominance, hampered by historical grass struggles—her best Wimbledon is a quarterfinal—though recent improvements signal potential upside. Elena Rybakina's 16.0% reflects her 2022 title and flat-hitting efficiency on fast courts, positioning her as a proven threat. The wide-open field, with no player above 26%, underscores injury volatility, young risers like Victoria Mboko (5.5%) gaining hype from junior breakthroughs, and momentum shifts favoring power over finesse in recent grass swings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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