Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 26% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, driven by her world No. 1 ranking, dominant 2024 hard-court season including the US Open title, and big-serving power game well-suited to grass surfaces where she reached semifinals in 2021 and 2023. Iga Świątek sits close at 18.3%, her consistent Grand Slam contention and recent China Open victory offsetting historical grass-court struggles beyond quarterfinals. Elena Rybakina's 16.5% reflects her 2022 Wimbledon triumph and serving prowess, bolstered by strong recent form despite injury interruptions. The bunched top tier highlights long-horizon uncertainties like evolving surface adaptations, potential injuries, and breakthroughs from young talents such as 16-year-old Victoria Mboko (6.1%) after her US Open qualifying run.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 6.1%
$2,569,433 Vol.
$2,569,433 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 6.1%
$2,569,433 Vol.
$2,569,433 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 26% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, driven by her world No. 1 ranking, dominant 2024 hard-court season including the US Open title, and big-serving power game well-suited to grass surfaces where she reached semifinals in 2021 and 2023. Iga Świątek sits close at 18.3%, her consistent Grand Slam contention and recent China Open victory offsetting historical grass-court struggles beyond quarterfinals. Elena Rybakina's 16.5% reflects her 2022 Wimbledon triumph and serving prowess, bolstered by strong recent form despite injury interruptions. The bunched top tier highlights long-horizon uncertainties like evolving surface adaptations, potential injuries, and breakthroughs from young talents such as 16-year-old Victoria Mboko (6.1%) after her US Open qualifying run.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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