Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 37% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title after sweeping the Sunshine Double, defeating Elena Rybakina in the Indian Wells final and Coco Gauff at Miami to cap a dominant hard-court swing that vaulted her to World No. 1. Rybakina's 16.3% follows her Australian Open triumph over Sabalenka in January, though back-to-back finals losses highlight stylistic vulnerabilities on faster hard courts. Iga Swiatek sits at 15% amid a rankings slide to No. 4, with her game better suited to clay than the US Open's outdoor hard courts. Rising talents like Linda Noskova (8.9%, Indian Wells semifinalist) and Victoria Mboko (7.2%, career-high No. 9 after deep Sunshine Double runs) reflect breakthrough hard-court form boosting underdog appeal in a wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 37%
Elena Rybakina 17.7%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Coco Gauff 7.7%
$965,590 Vol.
$965,590 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Coco Gauff
8%
Tereza Valentova
5%
Marie Bouzkova
4%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Maya Joint
4%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Dayana Yastremska
3%
Victoria Mboko
7%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Alexandra Eala
2%
Linda Noskova
8%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Donna Vekic
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 37%
Elena Rybakina 17.7%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Coco Gauff 7.7%
$965,590 Vol.
$965,590 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Coco Gauff
8%
Tereza Valentova
5%
Marie Bouzkova
4%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Maya Joint
4%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Dayana Yastremska
3%
Victoria Mboko
7%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Alexandra Eala
2%
Linda Noskova
8%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Donna Vekic
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 37% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title after sweeping the Sunshine Double, defeating Elena Rybakina in the Indian Wells final and Coco Gauff at Miami to cap a dominant hard-court swing that vaulted her to World No. 1. Rybakina's 16.3% follows her Australian Open triumph over Sabalenka in January, though back-to-back finals losses highlight stylistic vulnerabilities on faster hard courts. Iga Swiatek sits at 15% amid a rankings slide to No. 4, with her game better suited to clay than the US Open's outdoor hard courts. Rising talents like Linda Noskova (8.9%, Indian Wells semifinalist) and Victoria Mboko (7.2%, career-high No. 9 after deep Sunshine Double runs) reflect breakthrough hard-court form boosting underdog appeal in a wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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