Flamengo holds a slim edge as defending Copa Libertadores champions after their 1-0 final win over Palmeiras last November, with trader consensus at 52% implied probability bolstered by a manageable Group A featuring Estudiantes, Cusco FC, and Independiente Medellín, alongside strong Brasileirão form. Palmeiras trails closely at 49.5%, leveraging their runner-up pedigree, deep squad rotation under Abel Ferreira, and Group F path through Cerro Porteño, Junior, and Sporting Cristal. LDU Quito and Estudiantes LP both at 39.5% reflect Ecuadorian altitude edge and Argentine grit in potential knockouts, while Corinthians, Boca Juniors, and Peñarol linger as dark horses; the bunching underscores early-group-stage volatility, historical upsets, and cross-continental travel challenges keeping the title race fiercely contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourFlamengo 25%
Palmeiras 20%
Peñarol 13%
Universidad Católica 9%
Flamengo
39%
Palmeiras
35%
Peñarol
13%
Universidad Católica
9%
Junior
9%
Boca Juniors
15%
Rosario Central
1%
Santa Fe
1%
Nacional
1%
Always Ready
1%
Lanús
1%
Universidad Central
1%
Libertad
1%
Platense
1%
Cerro Porteño
1%
Independiente Rivadavia
1%
Mirassol
1%
Corinthians
16%
Independiente Medellín
1%
Bolívar
1%
LDU Quito
-
Estudiantes LP
-
Flamengo 25%
Palmeiras 20%
Peñarol 13%
Universidad Católica 9%
Flamengo
39%
Palmeiras
35%
Peñarol
13%
Universidad Católica
9%
Junior
9%
Boca Juniors
15%
Rosario Central
1%
Santa Fe
1%
Nacional
1%
Always Ready
1%
Lanús
1%
Universidad Central
1%
Libertad
1%
Platense
1%
Cerro Porteño
1%
Independiente Rivadavia
1%
Mirassol
1%
Corinthians
16%
Independiente Medellín
1%
Bolívar
1%
LDU Quito
-
Estudiantes LP
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flamengo holds a slim edge as defending Copa Libertadores champions after their 1-0 final win over Palmeiras last November, with trader consensus at 52% implied probability bolstered by a manageable Group A featuring Estudiantes, Cusco FC, and Independiente Medellín, alongside strong Brasileirão form. Palmeiras trails closely at 49.5%, leveraging their runner-up pedigree, deep squad rotation under Abel Ferreira, and Group F path through Cerro Porteño, Junior, and Sporting Cristal. LDU Quito and Estudiantes LP both at 39.5% reflect Ecuadorian altitude edge and Argentine grit in potential knockouts, while Corinthians, Boca Juniors, and Peñarol linger as dark horses; the bunching underscores early-group-stage volatility, historical upsets, and cross-continental travel challenges keeping the title race fiercely contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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