Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner command trader consensus at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, reflecting their atop ATP rankings dominance and contrasting Sunshine Double fortunes—Sinner's Indian Wells Masters 1000 conquest as the youngest to claim all hard-court Masters titles, followed by a Miami deep run at 14-2 on the surface, versus Alcaraz's third-round Miami upset loss to Sebastian Korda after an Indian Wells semifinal exit to Daniil Medvedev. Alcaraz's back-to-back grass-court major triumphs provide surface edge, but Sinner's booming serve suits low-bouncing grass, keeping the duel razor-tight ahead of clay and grass prep. Novak Djokovic lags at 7.3% amid a right shoulder injury forcing Miami and Monte Carlo Masters withdrawals, dimming his seven-time champion prospects at age 38.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCarlos Alcaraz 37%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,576,564 Vol.
$2,576,564 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 37%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,576,564 Vol.
$2,576,564 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner command trader consensus at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, reflecting their atop ATP rankings dominance and contrasting Sunshine Double fortunes—Sinner's Indian Wells Masters 1000 conquest as the youngest to claim all hard-court Masters titles, followed by a Miami deep run at 14-2 on the surface, versus Alcaraz's third-round Miami upset loss to Sebastian Korda after an Indian Wells semifinal exit to Daniil Medvedev. Alcaraz's back-to-back grass-court major triumphs provide surface edge, but Sinner's booming serve suits low-bouncing grass, keeping the duel razor-tight ahead of clay and grass prep. Novak Djokovic lags at 7.3% amid a right shoulder injury forcing Miami and Monte Carlo Masters withdrawals, dimming his seven-time champion prospects at age 38.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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