Jannik Sinner's Sunshine Double triumph—claiming Indian Wells and Miami Masters 1000 titles on hard courts in March 2026, culminating in a straight-sets final win over Jiri Lehecka—has propelled his trader consensus to 35% for the 2026 US Open, narrowing the gap with World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at 38%. Both atop the ATP rankings dominate hard-court play, with Alcaraz's superior Grand Slam pedigree and head-to-head edge (including recent clashes) sustaining his slim lead amid the evenly split top probabilities. Lehecka's breakthrough Miami final run highlights emerging threats from powerful servers like him (6.3%), Arthur Fils (3.5%), and young risers, underscoring the open field vulnerable to upsets on the fast Flushing Meadows surface five months out.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCarlos Alcaraz 38%
Jannik Sinner 35%
Jiri Lehecka 7.3%
Arthur Fils 3.9%
$1,019,360 Vol.
$1,019,360 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
38%
Jannik Sinner
35%
Jiri Lehecka
7%
Arthur Fils
4%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
2%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 38%
Jannik Sinner 35%
Jiri Lehecka 7.3%
Arthur Fils 3.9%
$1,019,360 Vol.
$1,019,360 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
38%
Jannik Sinner
35%
Jiri Lehecka
7%
Arthur Fils
4%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
2%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's Sunshine Double triumph—claiming Indian Wells and Miami Masters 1000 titles on hard courts in March 2026, culminating in a straight-sets final win over Jiri Lehecka—has propelled his trader consensus to 35% for the 2026 US Open, narrowing the gap with World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at 38%. Both atop the ATP rankings dominate hard-court play, with Alcaraz's superior Grand Slam pedigree and head-to-head edge (including recent clashes) sustaining his slim lead amid the evenly split top probabilities. Lehecka's breakthrough Miami final run highlights emerging threats from powerful servers like him (6.3%), Arthur Fils (3.5%), and young risers, underscoring the open field vulnerable to upsets on the fast Flushing Meadows surface five months out.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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