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2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest 44%

4th or lower 41%

2nd hottest 11.8%

1st hottest 1.8%

$25,561 Vol.

Règles

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.

Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$25,561
Date de fin
Mar 10, 2026
Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record. Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest 44%

4th or lower 41%

2nd hottest 11.8%

1st hottest 1.8%

$25,561 Vol.

1st hottest

$1,607 Vol.

2%

2nd hottest

$3,875 Vol.

12%

3rd hottest

$10,152 Vol.

44%

4th or lower

$9,927 Vol.

41%

À propos

Volume
$25,561
Date de fin
Mar 10, 2026
Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.