Romania's parliament passed the no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European minority coalition government today, securing 281 votes—well above the 233 required—after the Social Democratic Party (PSD) withdrew support over austerity measures and allied with the hard-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). This collapse, driven by PSD's shift amid budget deficit pressures and EU fiscal demands, reflects trader consensus on the outcome, with "Yes" shares at 99.9% implied probability. While official confirmation and President Nicușor Dan's consultations on a new government loom, procedural challenges or recounts are highly unlikely to reverse the tally, solidifying near-certain resolution for passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,945 Vol.
$59,945 Vol.
May 5, 2026
$59,945 Vol.
$59,945 Vol.
May 5, 2026
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's parliament passed the no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European minority coalition government today, securing 281 votes—well above the 233 required—after the Social Democratic Party (PSD) withdrew support over austerity measures and allied with the hard-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). This collapse, driven by PSD's shift amid budget deficit pressures and EU fiscal demands, reflects trader consensus on the outcome, with "Yes" shares at 99.9% implied probability. While official confirmation and President Nicușor Dan's consultations on a new government loom, procedural challenges or recounts are highly unlikely to reverse the tally, solidifying near-certain resolution for passage.
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$59,945End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's parliament passed the no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European minority coalition government today, securing 281 votes—well above the 233 required—after the Social Democratic Party (PSD) withdrew support over austerity measures and allied with the hard-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). This collapse, driven by PSD's shift amid budget deficit pressures and EU fiscal demands, reflects trader consensus on the outcome, with "Yes" shares at 99.9% implied probability. While official confirmation and President Nicușor Dan's consultations on a new government loom, procedural challenges or recounts are highly unlikely to reverse the tally, solidifying near-certain resolution for passage.
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,945End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Romania's parliament passed the no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European minority coalition government today, securing 281 votes—well above the 233 required—after the Social Democratic Party (PSD) withdrew support over austerity measures and allied with the hard-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). This collapse, driven by PSD's shift amid budget deficit pressures and EU fiscal demands, reflects trader consensus on the outcome, with "Yes" shares at 99.9% implied probability. While official confirmation and President Nicușor Dan's consultations on a new government loom, procedural challenges or recounts are highly unlikely to reverse the tally, solidifying near-certain resolution for passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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