Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트120-139 99.6%
100-119 <1%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$103,909 거래량
$103,909 거래량
2026.06.16
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
Yes
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
120-139 99.6%
100-119 <1%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$103,909 거래량
$103,909 거래량
2026.06.16
<20
$4,294 거래량
No
20-39
$6,433 거래량
No
40-59
$4,748 거래량
No
60-79
$5,135 거래량
No
80-99
$6,379 거래량
No
100-119
$50,967 거래량
No
120-139
$7,279 거래량
Yes
140-159
$5,412 거래량
No
160-179
$4,646 거래량
No
180-199
$4,030 거래량
No
200+
$4,585 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
거래량
$103,909종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$103,909종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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