Scottie Scheffler holds the strongest implied probability among a tightly bunched group of contenders for the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, reflecting his elite ball-striking consistency and the course’s premium on approach play and iron control despite a win drought in 2026. Rory McIlroy sits next after strong recent major results and a renewed focus on U.S. Open setups following multiple runner-up finishes, while Jon Rahm benefits from proven links-style adaptability and recent PGA Championship contention. The broad distribution across players such as Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, and Matt Fitzpatrick stems from Shinnecock’s historically firm, windy conditions that reward steady ball-strikers and veterans with prior major success rather than any single dominant form trend. Recent performances at the Memorial and PGA Championship have kept momentum distributed, underscoring how course-specific demands and a deep field of in-form professionals prevent any golfer from separating decisively in trader pricing ahead of the opening round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Scottie Scheffler 13%
Rory McIlroy 7%
Jon Rahm 6%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.7%
$312,077 交易量
$312,077 交易量
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Russell Henley
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Wyndham Clark
2%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Adam Scott
1%
David Puig
1%
Harris English
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
JT Poston
1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 13%
Rory McIlroy 7%
Jon Rahm 6%
Tommy Fleetwood 4.7%
$312,077 交易量
$312,077 交易量
Scottie Scheffler
13%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Russell Henley
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Wyndham Clark
2%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Adam Scott
1%
David Puig
1%
Harris English
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
JT Poston
1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler holds the strongest implied probability among a tightly bunched group of contenders for the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, reflecting his elite ball-striking consistency and the course’s premium on approach play and iron control despite a win drought in 2026. Rory McIlroy sits next after strong recent major results and a renewed focus on U.S. Open setups following multiple runner-up finishes, while Jon Rahm benefits from proven links-style adaptability and recent PGA Championship contention. The broad distribution across players such as Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, and Matt Fitzpatrick stems from Shinnecock’s historically firm, windy conditions that reward steady ball-strikers and veterans with prior major success rather than any single dominant form trend. Recent performances at the Memorial and PGA Championship have kept momentum distributed, underscoring how course-specific demands and a deep field of in-form professionals prevent any golfer from separating decisively in trader pricing ahead of the opening round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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