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¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?

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¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?

2% chance
Polymarket

$75,665 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$75,665 Vol.

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Former President Donald Trump's absence of any announced plans or diplomatic overtures for a North Korea visit by April 30 anchors trader consensus at 97.7% on "No," reflecting logistical, scheduling, and geopolitical barriers. As the leading Republican presidential candidate, Trump is focused on U.S. campaign rallies in swing states and federal trials in New York and elsewhere, with no room for a Pyongyang trip requiring Kim Jong-un's invitation and State Department facilitation—controls tightened amid recent North Korean ballistic missile tests and anti-U.S. rhetoric. Bilateral tensions persist without de-escalation signals, contrasting Trump's 2018-2019 summits as sitting president. A late-breaking invitation or foreign policy breakthrough could theoretically shift odds, though time constraints make this improbable.

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$75,665
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Former President Donald Trump's absence of any announced plans or diplomatic overtures for a North Korea visit by April 30 anchors trader consensus at 97.7% on "No," reflecting logistical, scheduling, and geopolitical barriers. As the leading Republican presidential candidate, Trump is focused on U.S. campaign rallies in swing states and federal trials in New York and elsewhere, with no room for a Pyongyang trip requiring Kim Jong-un's invitation and State Department facilitation—controls tightened amid recent North Korean ballistic missile tests and anti-U.S. rhetoric. Bilateral tensions persist without de-escalation signals, contrasting Trump's 2018-2019 summits as sitting president. A late-breaking invitation or foreign policy breakthrough could theoretically shift odds, though time constraints make this improbable.

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$75,665
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Visitará Trump Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?" ha generado $75.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?" es "¿Visitará Trump Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?" con solo 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump visitará Corea del Norte antes del 30 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.