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Mundo·Trump-Machado

¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?

Market icon
Mundo·Trump-Machado

¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?

Sí

19% probabilidad
Polymarket

$79,693 Vol.

Sí

19% probabilidad
Polymarket

$79,693 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability against President Trump endorsing Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado for the 2026 presidential election, driven by his repeated public reservations despite recent interactions. Following her January 2026 White House meeting—where she presented Trump with her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal—no endorsement materialized; instead, Trump questioned her domestic support, dismissed her as "not respected," and advised against returning home amid post-Maduro instability after U.S. strikes and his capture. March reports highlight deepening U.S. ties with interim figures like Delcy Rodríguez, White House frustrations over Machado's election rhetoric, and a focus on rebuilding before polls, prioritizing stability over opposition backing in foreign policy. Renewed talks as of late March have yet to shift this dynamic.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$79,693
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability against President Trump endorsing Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado for the 2026 presidential election, driven by his repeated public reservations despite recent interactions. Following her January 2026 White House meeting—where she presented Trump with her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal—no endorsement materialized; instead, Trump questioned her domestic support, dismissed her as "not respected," and advised against returning home amid post-Maduro instability after U.S. strikes and his capture. March reports highlight deepening U.S. ties with interim figures like Delcy Rodríguez, White House frustrations over Machado's election rhetoric, and a focus on rebuilding before polls, prioritizing stability over opposition backing in foreign policy. Renewed talks as of late March have yet to shift this dynamic.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$79,693
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Respaldará Trump a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" ha generado $79.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" es "¿Respaldará Trump a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.