US military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury in coordination with Israel, have involved thousands of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and regime leadership without a formal congressional declaration of war—the last since World War II. Recent House and Senate rejections of war powers resolutions preserve President Trump's executive authority amid Iran's degraded capabilities. Four days ago, Iran began reviewing a US ceasefire proposal through mediators, though Trump signaled reluctance to end hostilities quickly. Traders assess low declaration odds given historical presidential war powers and congressional deference, watching for escalation signals like ground troops or renewed legislative pushback before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$4,856,724 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 de marzo
<1%
30 de abril
2%
31 de diciembre
10%
$4,856,724 Vol.
31 de marzo
$4,393,110 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$157,419 Vol.
2%
31 de diciembre
$306,196 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury in coordination with Israel, have involved thousands of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and regime leadership without a formal congressional declaration of war—the last since World War II. Recent House and Senate rejections of war powers resolutions preserve President Trump's executive authority amid Iran's degraded capabilities. Four days ago, Iran began reviewing a US ceasefire proposal through mediators, though Trump signaled reluctance to end hostilities quickly. Traders assess low declaration odds given historical presidential war powers and congressional deference, watching for escalation signals like ground troops or renewed legislative pushback before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$4,856,724Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury in coordination with Israel, have involved thousands of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and regime leadership without a formal congressional declaration of war—the last since World War II. Recent House and Senate rejections of war powers resolutions preserve President Trump's executive authority amid Iran's degraded capabilities. Four days ago, Iran began reviewing a US ceasefire proposal through mediators, though Trump signaled reluctance to end hostilities quickly. Traders assess low declaration odds given historical presidential war powers and congressional deference, watching for escalation signals like ground troops or renewed legislative pushback before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,856,724Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury in coordination with Israel, have involved thousands of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and regime leadership without a formal congressional declaration of war—the last since World War II. Recent House and Senate rejections of war powers resolutions preserve President Trump's executive authority amid Iran's degraded capabilities. Four days ago, Iran began reviewing a US ceasefire proposal through mediators, though Trump signaled reluctance to end hostilities quickly. Traders assess low declaration odds given historical presidential war powers and congressional deference, watching for escalation signals like ground troops or renewed legislative pushback before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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