Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since February 28 airstrikes launched under Operation Epic Fury, President Trump has authorized extensive military actions—including over 10,000 strikes degrading Iranian missile and nuclear sites—without a congressional war declaration, relying on executive authority to sidestep Article I requirements. Recent diplomatic efforts faltered as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal as "unreasonable" on March 25, prompting Trump to postpone power grid bombings while deploying thousands of Marines and 82nd Airborne paratroopers for potential limited ground raids. Congressional Democrats criticize the conflict as undeclared war, but no votes for formal authorization have advanced amid public polls showing skepticism toward further escalation. Traders watch for stalled talks or intensified Iranian retaliation through April deadlines that could pressure legislative action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$4,827,098 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31 de marzo
<1%
30 de abril
2%
31 de diciembre
10%
$4,827,098 Vol.
31 de marzo
$4,368,039 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$154,431 Vol.
2%
31 de diciembre
$304,628 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since February 28 airstrikes launched under Operation Epic Fury, President Trump has authorized extensive military actions—including over 10,000 strikes degrading Iranian missile and nuclear sites—without a congressional war declaration, relying on executive authority to sidestep Article I requirements. Recent diplomatic efforts faltered as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal as "unreasonable" on March 25, prompting Trump to postpone power grid bombings while deploying thousands of Marines and 82nd Airborne paratroopers for potential limited ground raids. Congressional Democrats criticize the conflict as undeclared war, but no votes for formal authorization have advanced amid public polls showing skepticism toward further escalation. Traders watch for stalled talks or intensified Iranian retaliation through April deadlines that could pressure legislative action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volumen
$4,827,098Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since February 28 airstrikes launched under Operation Epic Fury, President Trump has authorized extensive military actions—including over 10,000 strikes degrading Iranian missile and nuclear sites—without a congressional war declaration, relying on executive authority to sidestep Article I requirements. Recent diplomatic efforts faltered as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal as "unreasonable" on March 25, prompting Trump to postpone power grid bombings while deploying thousands of Marines and 82nd Airborne paratroopers for potential limited ground raids. Congressional Democrats criticize the conflict as undeclared war, but no votes for formal authorization have advanced amid public polls showing skepticism toward further escalation. Traders watch for stalled talks or intensified Iranian retaliation through April deadlines that could pressure legislative action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,827,098Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since February 28 airstrikes launched under Operation Epic Fury, President Trump has authorized extensive military actions—including over 10,000 strikes degrading Iranian missile and nuclear sites—without a congressional war declaration, relying on executive authority to sidestep Article I requirements. Recent diplomatic efforts faltered as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal as "unreasonable" on March 25, prompting Trump to postpone power grid bombings while deploying thousands of Marines and 82nd Airborne paratroopers for potential limited ground raids. Congressional Democrats criticize the conflict as undeclared war, but no votes for formal authorization have advanced amid public polls showing skepticism toward further escalation. Traders watch for stalled talks or intensified Iranian retaliation through April deadlines that could pressure legislative action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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