Trader consensus in the UFC lightweight division positions Benoît Saint Denis as the clear frontrunner at 51% implied probability to face Paddy Pimblett next, fueled by their explosive performances on the same UFC 304 card in July—Pimblett's third-round submission of Tony Ferguson and Saint Denis's second-round TKO of Renato Moicano—followed by immediate mutual callouts and UFC CEO Dana White's endorsement of the stylistic grappler vs. striker matchup for a potential UFC London headliner in February 2025. Dan Hooker's 28.5% share stems from ongoing rivalry trash talk and his recent activity despite a submission loss to Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 305, while top contenders Arman Tsarukyan and Gamrot (10% each) reflect aspirational title paths amid their eliminator pursuits. Rafael Fiziev lags at 7% due to ongoing knee recovery, and Conor McGregor at 4.1% remains a low-probability dream superfight given his inactivity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoBenoît Saint Denis 51%
Dan Hooker 15%
Conor McGregor 11.5%
Mateusz Gamrot 9%
$26,416 Vol.
$26,416 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
51%
Dan Hooker
24%
Conor McGregor
12%
Mateusz Gamrot
16%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
13%
Benoît Saint Denis 51%
Dan Hooker 15%
Conor McGregor 11.5%
Mateusz Gamrot 9%
$26,416 Vol.
$26,416 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
51%
Dan Hooker
24%
Conor McGregor
12%
Mateusz Gamrot
16%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
13%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the UFC lightweight division positions Benoît Saint Denis as the clear frontrunner at 51% implied probability to face Paddy Pimblett next, fueled by their explosive performances on the same UFC 304 card in July—Pimblett's third-round submission of Tony Ferguson and Saint Denis's second-round TKO of Renato Moicano—followed by immediate mutual callouts and UFC CEO Dana White's endorsement of the stylistic grappler vs. striker matchup for a potential UFC London headliner in February 2025. Dan Hooker's 28.5% share stems from ongoing rivalry trash talk and his recent activity despite a submission loss to Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 305, while top contenders Arman Tsarukyan and Gamrot (10% each) reflect aspirational title paths amid their eliminator pursuits. Rafael Fiziev lags at 7% due to ongoing knee recovery, and Conor McGregor at 4.1% remains a low-probability dream superfight given his inactivity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes