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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$242,719 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$242,719 Vol.

Polymarket
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Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

21%

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Mark Kelly

$4,871 Vol.

20%

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J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

17%

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Steve Bannon

$8,614 Vol.

16%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 Vol.

16%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$0 Vol.

16%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$3,603 Vol.

16%

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Brian Kemp

$953 Vol.

16%

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Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

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John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

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Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

15%

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Nikki Haley

$0 Vol.

14%

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Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

13%

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Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

13%

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Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

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Andrew Yang

$4,984 Vol.

13%

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Kamala Harris

$12,719 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

12%

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Wes Moore

$5,180 Vol.

12%

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Andy Beshear

$4,402 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$1,735 Vol.

12%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

12%

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Gavin Newsom

$43,470 Vol.

12%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

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Mark Cuban

$884 Vol.

12%

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Ted Cruz

$10,418 Vol.

12%

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Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,604 Vol.

11%

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John Thune

$2,136 Vol.

11%

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Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,284 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$14,194 Vol.

11%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,277 Vol.

11%

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Marco Rubio

$3,785 Vol.

10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$5,847 Vol.

10%

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Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 Vol.

10%

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Mike Pence

$8,882 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$5,374 Vol.

9%

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George Clooney

$0 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$7,635 Vol.

8%

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Liz Cheney

$0 Vol.

8%

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Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

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Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

8%

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Hillary Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Chelsea Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

7%

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Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$0 Vol.

7%

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Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$0 Vol.

7%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,072 Vol.

6%

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Tim Walz

$0 Vol.

6%

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Erika Kirk

$5,991 Vol.

6%

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Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

6%

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Hunter Biden

$20,069 Vol.

5%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Michelle Obama

$7,134 Vol.

4%

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Zohran Mamdani

$0 Vol.

4%

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MrBeast

$0 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major U.S. politicians have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC before 2027, leaving the field to fringe independent and minor-party candidates. Recent signals include Sen. Rand Paul's March 16 comments floating a White House bid to champion fiscal conservatism over Trump administration tariffs, and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear's March 21 critique of Vice President JD Vance amid mutual positioning. Trader consensus favors early favorites like Vance for Republicans and California Gov. Gavin Newsom for Democrats, shaped by polling and midterm shadow campaigns. November 2026 midterms represent the next catalyst, as gubernatorial and Senate outcomes historically boost national contenders through fundraising and visibility.

No major U.S. politicians have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC before 2027, leaving the field to fringe independent and minor-party candidates. Recent signals include Sen. Rand Paul's March 16 comments floating a White House bid to champion fiscal conservatism over Trump administration tariffs, and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear's March 21 critique of Vice President JD Vance amid mutual positioning. Trader consensus favors early favorites like Vance for Republicans and California Gov. Gavin Newsom for Democrats, shaped by polling and midterm shadow campaigns. November 2026 midterms represent the next catalyst, as gubernatorial and Senate outcomes historically boost national contenders through fundraising and visibility.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major U.S. politicians have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC before 2027, leaving the field to fringe independent and minor-party candidates. Recent signals include Sen. Rand Paul's March 16 comments floating a White House bid to champion fiscal conservatism over Trump administration tariffs, and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear's March 21 critique of Vice President JD Vance amid mutual positioning. Trader consensus favors early favorites like Vance for Republicans and California Gov. Gavin Newsom for Democrats, shaped by polling and midterm shadow campaigns. November 2026 midterms represent the next catalyst, as gubernatorial and Senate outcomes historically boost national contenders through fundraising and visibility.

No major U.S. politicians have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns or filed with the FEC before 2027, leaving the field to fringe independent and minor-party candidates. Recent signals include Sen. Rand Paul's March 16 comments floating a White House bid to champion fiscal conservatism over Trump administration tariffs, and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear's March 21 critique of Vice President JD Vance amid mutual positioning. Trader consensus favors early favorites like Vance for Republicans and California Gov. Gavin Newsom for Democrats, shaped by polling and midterm shadow campaigns. November 2026 midterms represent the next catalyst, as gubernatorial and Senate outcomes historically boost national contenders through fundraising and visibility.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 70+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gretchen Whitmer" con 51%, seguido de "Josh Hawley" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $242.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 70+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Gretchen Whitmer" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Josh Hawley" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.