With President-elect Donald Trump's second non-consecutive term set to begin amid constitutional term limits barring a 2028 run, early positioning for the next presidential cycle dominates trader focus, though no major candidates have formally announced campaigns before the 2027 deadline. Vice President-elect JD Vance benefits from incumbency advantages in the GOP primary path, bolstered by his role in the administration and appeal to key base voters, while Democrats like California Governor Gavin Newsom and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer gain traction through national tours and policy critiques. Recent cabinet confirmations and transition developments have solidified Republican frontrunners, but 2026 midterm elections in swing states offer critical tests for viability via gubernatorial or Senate races. Uncertainty persists given potential scandals, health events, or shifts in party dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$171,340 Vol.

Mark Kelly
20%

Tulsi Gabbard
18%

J.D. Vance
17%

Brian Kemp
17%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Rand Paul
15%

John Fetterman
15%

Nikki Haley
14%

J.B. Pritzker
14%

Candace Owens
14%

Ron DeSantis
13%

Tucker Carlson
13%

Jared Polis
13%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%

Gavin Newsom
13%

Mark Cuban
13%

Steve Bannon
13%

Gina Raimondo
12%

Phil Murphy
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

Elise Stefanik
12%

Kamala Harris
12%

Wes Moore
11%

Andrew Yang
11%

Ted Cruz
11%

John Thune
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Katie Britt
10%

Donald Trump
10%

Marco Rubio
10%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%

Vivek Ramaswamy
10%

Cory Booker
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

Mike Pence
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Beto O’Rourke
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Jon Stewart
8%

George Clooney
8%

Oprah Winfrey
8%

Greg Abbott
8%

Andy Beshear
8%

Josh Hawley
7%

Glenn Youngkin
7%

Kristi Noem
7%

Hillary Clinton
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Tom Brady
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Roy Cooper
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Tim Walz
6%

Erika Kirk
6%

Elon Musk
6%

Hunter Biden
5%

Ivanka Trump
5%

Barack Obama
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Zohran Mamdani
4%

MrBeast
3%

LeBron James
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
51%
$171,340 Vol.

Mark Kelly
20%

Tulsi Gabbard
18%

J.D. Vance
17%

Brian Kemp
17%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Rand Paul
15%

John Fetterman
15%

Nikki Haley
14%

J.B. Pritzker
14%

Candace Owens
14%

Ron DeSantis
13%

Tucker Carlson
13%

Jared Polis
13%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%

Gavin Newsom
13%

Mark Cuban
13%

Steve Bannon
13%

Gina Raimondo
12%

Phil Murphy
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

Elise Stefanik
12%

Kamala Harris
12%

Wes Moore
11%

Andrew Yang
11%

Ted Cruz
11%

John Thune
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Katie Britt
10%

Donald Trump
10%

Marco Rubio
10%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%

Vivek Ramaswamy
10%

Cory Booker
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

Mike Pence
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Beto O’Rourke
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Jon Stewart
8%

George Clooney
8%

Oprah Winfrey
8%

Greg Abbott
8%

Andy Beshear
8%

Josh Hawley
7%

Glenn Youngkin
7%

Kristi Noem
7%

Hillary Clinton
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Tom Brady
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Roy Cooper
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Tim Walz
6%

Erika Kirk
6%

Elon Musk
6%

Hunter Biden
5%

Ivanka Trump
5%

Barack Obama
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Zohran Mamdani
4%

MrBeast
3%

LeBron James
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
51%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...With President-elect Donald Trump's second non-consecutive term set to begin amid constitutional term limits barring a 2028 run, early positioning for the next presidential cycle dominates trader focus, though no major candidates have formally announced campaigns before the 2027 deadline. Vice President-elect JD Vance benefits from incumbency advantages in the GOP primary path, bolstered by his role in the administration and appeal to key base voters, while Democrats like California Governor Gavin Newsom and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer gain traction through national tours and policy critiques. Recent cabinet confirmations and transition developments have solidified Republican frontrunners, but 2026 midterm elections in swing states offer critical tests for viability via gubernatorial or Senate races. Uncertainty persists given potential scandals, health events, or shifts in party dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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