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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$281,693 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$281,693 Vol.

Polymarket
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Mark Kelly

$4,871 Vol.

20%

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Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

19%

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J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

17%

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Steve Bannon

$8,614 Vol.

16%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$4,754 Vol.

16%

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Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

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Brian Kemp

$1,000 Vol.

15%

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John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$3,603 Vol.

15%

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Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

14%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 Vol.

16%

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Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

14%

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Nikki Haley

$1,627 Vol.

14%

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Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

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Andrew Yang

$7,688 Vol.

13%

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Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

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Kamala Harris

$12,719 Vol.

13%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

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Andy Beshear

$4,402 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

12%

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Wes Moore

$5,180 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$1,735 Vol.

12%

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Mark Cuban

$884 Vol.

12%

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Gavin Newsom

$43,475 Vol.

12%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

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Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,604 Vol.

11%

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Ted Cruz

$10,418 Vol.

11%

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John Thune

$2,136 Vol.

11%

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Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,284 Vol.

11%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,194 Vol.

11%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,277 Vol.

11%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

10%

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Marco Rubio

$3,785 Vol.

10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$5,847 Vol.

10%

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Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

10%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 Vol.

10%

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Mike Pence

$8,901 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

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Byron Donalds

$5,374 Vol.

9%

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George Clooney

$0 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$7,635 Vol.

8%

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Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

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Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

8%

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Tim Walz

$3,316 Vol.

8%

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Liz Cheney

$0 Vol.

8%

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Hillary Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Roy Cooper

$3,405 Vol.

7%

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Chelsea Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

7%

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Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$0 Vol.

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$0 Vol.

7%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,072 Vol.

6%

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Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

12%

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Erika Kirk

$5,991 Vol.

6%

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Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

6%

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Hunter Biden

$20,069 Vol.

5%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Michelle Obama

$10,126 Vol.

4%

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Zohran Mamdani

$0 Vol.

4%

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MrBeast

$20,106 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no formal 2028 presidential announcements in the past 30 days as of late March 2026, trader sentiment reflects early jockeying amid President Trump's term limits barring a third run and the November 2026 midterms looming as a launchpad for contenders. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Senators like Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly lead implied probabilities due to their national profiles, fundraising surges, and swing-state tours, while VP J.D. Vance benefits from incumbency advantages in GOP circles. Recent signals include Sen. Cory Booker not ruling out a bid on March 30 while eyeing Senate reelection, and CPAC attendees three days ago favoring younger Republicans. Post-midterm results and primary state visits could prompt the first declarations before year-end.

With no formal 2028 presidential announcements in the past 30 days as of late March 2026, trader sentiment reflects early jockeying amid President Trump's term limits barring a third run and the November 2026 midterms looming as a launchpad for contenders. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Senators like Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly lead implied probabilities due to their national profiles, fundraising surges, and swing-state tours, while VP J.D. Vance benefits from incumbency advantages in GOP circles. Recent signals include Sen. Cory Booker not ruling out a bid on March 30 while eyeing Senate reelection, and CPAC attendees three days ago favoring younger Republicans. Post-midterm results and primary state visits could prompt the first declarations before year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no formal 2028 presidential announcements in the past 30 days as of late March 2026, trader sentiment reflects early jockeying amid President Trump's term limits barring a third run and the November 2026 midterms looming as a launchpad for contenders. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Senators like Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly lead implied probabilities due to their national profiles, fundraising surges, and swing-state tours, while VP J.D. Vance benefits from incumbency advantages in GOP circles. Recent signals include Sen. Cory Booker not ruling out a bid on March 30 while eyeing Senate reelection, and CPAC attendees three days ago favoring younger Republicans. Post-midterm results and primary state visits could prompt the first declarations before year-end.

With no formal 2028 presidential announcements in the past 30 days as of late March 2026, trader sentiment reflects early jockeying amid President Trump's term limits barring a third run and the November 2026 midterms looming as a launchpad for contenders. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Senators like Josh Hawley and Mark Kelly lead implied probabilities due to their national profiles, fundraising surges, and swing-state tours, while VP J.D. Vance benefits from incumbency advantages in GOP circles. Recent signals include Sen. Cory Booker not ruling out a bid on March 30 while eyeing Senate reelection, and CPAC attendees three days ago favoring younger Republicans. Post-midterm results and primary state visits could prompt the first declarations before year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 70+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gretchen Whitmer" con 51%, seguido de "Mark Kelly" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $281.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 70+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Gretchen Whitmer" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mark Kelly" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.