Trader consensus prices Europe at 69.5% to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's unmatched depth across 16 qualification slots, top-heavy FIFA rankings with Spain, France, England, and others dominating after Spain's Euro 2024 triumph, and a track record of 12 titles including the last four before 2022. South America's 21.5% stems from CONMEBOL's six direct berths, Argentina's unbeaten run atop qualifiers (25 points from 12 games), back-to-back Copa América wins, and Brazil's recent recovery with victories over Venezuela and Chile despite earlier stumbles. Africa's 4% acknowledges Morocco's 2022 semifinal and Olympic bronze, but highlights ongoing CAF qualifier battles for nine spots amid historical quarterfinal ceiling; North America (2.5%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) trail due to limited senior success despite expanded 48-team format and host autos for USA, Canada, Mexico.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
Europa 70%
Sudamérica 22%
África 4.0%
América del Norte 2.6%
$1,303,089 Vol.
$1,303,089 Vol.
Europa
70%
Sudamérica
22%
África
4%
América del Norte
3%
Asia
2%
Oceanía
<1%
Europa 70%
Sudamérica 22%
África 4.0%
América del Norte 2.6%
$1,303,089 Vol.
$1,303,089 Vol.
Europa
70%
Sudamérica
22%
África
4%
América del Norte
3%
Asia
2%
Oceanía
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at 69.5% to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's unmatched depth across 16 qualification slots, top-heavy FIFA rankings with Spain, France, England, and others dominating after Spain's Euro 2024 triumph, and a track record of 12 titles including the last four before 2022. South America's 21.5% stems from CONMEBOL's six direct berths, Argentina's unbeaten run atop qualifiers (25 points from 12 games), back-to-back Copa América wins, and Brazil's recent recovery with victories over Venezuela and Chile despite earlier stumbles. Africa's 4% acknowledges Morocco's 2022 semifinal and Olympic bronze, but highlights ongoing CAF qualifier battles for nine spots amid historical quarterfinal ceiling; North America (2.5%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) trail due to limited senior success despite expanded 48-team format and host autos for USA, Canada, Mexico.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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