Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's unparalleled depth and historical dominance—winning four of the last six tournaments—bolstered by Spain's Euro 2024 triumph over England in the final, showcasing elite form from powerhouses like France, Germany, and England amid ongoing qualifiers. South America trails at 21.5%, propped by Argentina's third straight Copa América title against Colombia, though CONMEBOL's six slots limit their field compared to UEFA's 16. Africa (4%) and Asia (2.1%) show modest gains from competitive CAF and AFC qualifiers, with Morocco's Olympic semifinal run adding buzz, but no continental champion precedent persists; North America's 2.5% nods host-nation edges for USA, Canada, and Mexico in CONCACAF's six berths, while Oceania lingers at 0.4%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
Europa 70%
Sudamérica 22%
África 4.0%
América del Norte 2.6%
$1,476,067 Vol.
$1,476,067 Vol.
Europa
70%
Sudamérica
22%
África
4%
América del Norte
3%
Asia
2%
Oceanía
<1%
Europa 70%
Sudamérica 22%
África 4.0%
América del Norte 2.6%
$1,476,067 Vol.
$1,476,067 Vol.
Europa
70%
Sudamérica
22%
África
4%
América del Norte
3%
Asia
2%
Oceanía
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting UEFA's unparalleled depth and historical dominance—winning four of the last six tournaments—bolstered by Spain's Euro 2024 triumph over England in the final, showcasing elite form from powerhouses like France, Germany, and England amid ongoing qualifiers. South America trails at 21.5%, propped by Argentina's third straight Copa América title against Colombia, though CONMEBOL's six slots limit their field compared to UEFA's 16. Africa (4%) and Asia (2.1%) show modest gains from competitive CAF and AFC qualifiers, with Morocco's Olympic semifinal run adding buzz, but no continental champion precedent persists; North America's 2.5% nods host-nation edges for USA, Canada, and Mexico in CONCACAF's six berths, while Oceania lingers at 0.4%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes