Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Nasdaq 100's March close reflects a 65% implied probability of surpassing 18,500, propelled by sustained AI-driven momentum in megacap tech stocks like Nvidia and Microsoft, which have propelled NDX up 8% year-to-date amid cooling inflation signals. Recent February payrolls data eased recession fears, boosting risk appetite, while market-implied Fed funds futures price a 75% chance of no rate hike at the March 19-20 FOMC meeting. Key risks include hotter-than-expected CPI on March 12, potentially capping gains, with historical March seasonality showing modest 1.2% average NDX returns. Traders eye 18,000 as pivotal support ahead of resolution on March 28 close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$60,980 Vol.
↓ 20,400
3%
↓ 20250
3%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19,875
3%
↓ 19650
1%
↓ 19350
2%
↓ 18975
1%
$60,980 Vol.
↓ 20,400
3%
↓ 20250
3%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19,875
3%
↓ 19650
1%
↓ 19350
2%
↓ 18975
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).
Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Nasdaq 100's March close reflects a 65% implied probability of surpassing 18,500, propelled by sustained AI-driven momentum in megacap tech stocks like Nvidia and Microsoft, which have propelled NDX up 8% year-to-date amid cooling inflation signals. Recent February payrolls data eased recession fears, boosting risk appetite, while market-implied Fed funds futures price a 75% chance of no rate hike at the March 19-20 FOMC meeting. Key risks include hotter-than-expected CPI on March 12, potentially capping gains, with historical March seasonality showing modest 1.2% average NDX returns. Traders eye 18,000 as pivotal support ahead of resolution on March 28 close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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