Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president has solidified trader consensus at 64.5% odds for her leading by end-2026, following her sweeping military reshuffle on March 20—replacing senior commanders and the defense minister just two days prior—to tighten control after Nicolás Maduro's U.S.-backed ouster in early January. Maduro trails at 17.9% amid his capture and ongoing transition uncertainties, while opposition leader María Corina Machado holds 13.5% as she plans a near-term return to push for elections, though no date is set and U.S. signals remain mixed with threats of indictments against Rodríguez. Recent U.S. military meetings and reform pressures underscore the fragile power consolidation driving these probabilities in the post-chavismo landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 17.9%
María Corina Machado 14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón <1%
$78,298,180 Vol.
$78,298,180 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
65%
Nicolás Maduro
18%
María Corina Machado
14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Sin jefe de Estado
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 17.9%
María Corina Machado 14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón <1%
$78,298,180 Vol.
$78,298,180 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,255,957 Vol.
65%
Nicolás Maduro
$887,234 Vol.
18%
María Corina Machado
$858,729 Vol.
14%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,261,001 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$452,168 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$687,548 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$448,705 Vol.
<1%
Sin jefe de Estado
$741,027 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,060,664 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$863,939 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$652,990 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,634,914 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,145,300 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,747,396 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,967,274 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,633,335 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president has solidified trader consensus at 64.5% odds for her leading by end-2026, following her sweeping military reshuffle on March 20—replacing senior commanders and the defense minister just two days prior—to tighten control after Nicolás Maduro's U.S.-backed ouster in early January. Maduro trails at 17.9% amid his capture and ongoing transition uncertainties, while opposition leader María Corina Machado holds 13.5% as she plans a near-term return to push for elections, though no date is set and U.S. signals remain mixed with threats of indictments against Rodríguez. Recent U.S. military meetings and reform pressures underscore the fragile power consolidation driving these probabilities in the post-chavismo landscape.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$78,298,180Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president has solidified trader consensus at 64.5% odds for her leading by end-2026, following her sweeping military reshuffle on March 20—replacing senior commanders and the defense minister just two days prior—to tighten control after Nicolás Maduro's U.S.-backed ouster in early January. Maduro trails at 17.9% amid his capture and ongoing transition uncertainties, while opposition leader María Corina Machado holds 13.5% as she plans a near-term return to push for elections, though no date is set and U.S. signals remain mixed with threats of indictments against Rodríguez. Recent U.S. military meetings and reform pressures underscore the fragile power consolidation driving these probabilities in the post-chavismo landscape.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$78,298,180Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president has solidified trader consensus at 64.5% odds for her leading by end-2026, following her sweeping military reshuffle on March 20—replacing senior commanders and the defense minister just two days prior—to tighten control after Nicolás Maduro's U.S.-backed ouster in early January. Maduro trails at 17.9% amid his capture and ongoing transition uncertainties, while opposition leader María Corina Machado holds 13.5% as she plans a near-term return to push for elections, though no date is set and U.S. signals remain mixed with threats of indictments against Rodríguez. Recent U.S. military meetings and reform pressures underscore the fragile power consolidation driving these probabilities in the post-chavismo landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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