Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a convincing round-of-16 aggregate victory over Bayer Leverkusen, positioning them as slight favorites against Sporting CP in the upcoming quarterfinals starting April 7. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5%, bolstered by their second-place league-phase finish and Atalanta knockout, but face a stern test versus Real Madrid in a historic rivalry matchup. Barcelona (16.5%) host Atletico Madrid in an intra-Spanish derby, while PSG (12.5%) tackle Liverpool, creating intertwined semifinal paths that amplify uncertainty—recent round-of-16 advances by all frontrunners without major upsets keep the race tightly contested ahead of the May 30 final in Budapest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArsenal 27%
Bayern de Múnich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,123,561 Vol.
$221,123,561 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Múnich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern de Múnich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,123,561 Vol.
$221,123,561 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Múnich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a convincing round-of-16 aggregate victory over Bayer Leverkusen, positioning them as slight favorites against Sporting CP in the upcoming quarterfinals starting April 7. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5%, bolstered by their second-place league-phase finish and Atalanta knockout, but face a stern test versus Real Madrid in a historic rivalry matchup. Barcelona (16.5%) host Atletico Madrid in an intra-Spanish derby, while PSG (12.5%) tackle Liverpool, creating intertwined semifinal paths that amplify uncertainty—recent round-of-16 advances by all frontrunners without major upsets keep the race tightly contested ahead of the May 30 final in Budapest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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