Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a composed 3-1 aggregate victory over Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16, extending their strong knockout form amid a favorable path facing Sporting CP in the quarter-finals. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following a dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, showcasing offensive firepower, though a blockbuster quarter-final clash with Real Madrid—who stunned Manchester City 5-1 aggregate despite Kylian Mbappé's fitness issues—tempers expectations. Barcelona (16.5%) and defending champions PSG (12.5%) advanced convincingly, thrashing Newcastle 8-3 and Chelsea 8-2 respectively, but face Atletico Madrid and Liverpool in ties that heighten upset risks, keeping the race tightly contested with no runaway favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArsenal 27%
Bayern de Múnich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,095,289 Vol.
$221,095,289 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Múnich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern de Múnich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,095,289 Vol.
$221,095,289 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Múnich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a composed 3-1 aggregate victory over Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16, extending their strong knockout form amid a favorable path facing Sporting CP in the quarter-finals. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following a dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, showcasing offensive firepower, though a blockbuster quarter-final clash with Real Madrid—who stunned Manchester City 5-1 aggregate despite Kylian Mbappé's fitness issues—tempers expectations. Barcelona (16.5%) and defending champions PSG (12.5%) advanced convincingly, thrashing Newcastle 8-3 and Chelsea 8-2 respectively, but face Atletico Madrid and Liverpool in ties that heighten upset risks, keeping the race tightly contested with no runaway favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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