Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70–75% voter turnout at 87% implied probability for Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting historical precedents in competitive races—2022 saw 69% amid a similar GS-SDS contest, while 2018 reached 74%. The razor-thin contest between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), with pre-election polls neck-and-neck and a fragmented field including new entrants like Democrats, spurred high mobilization. Partial counts showed 50.7% turnout by 4pm—elevated versus prior elections—positioning 65–70% as the main alternative at 13%, while extremes remain negligible amid steady reporting. Official State Election Commission confirmation pending.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTurnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
70–75% 93.5%
65–70% 8.3%
<60% <1%
60–65% <1%
$177,831 Vol.
$177,831 Vol.
<60%
<1%
60–65%
<1%
65–70%
8%
70–75%
94%
75%+
<1%
70–75% 93.5%
65–70% 8.3%
<60% <1%
60–65% <1%
$177,831 Vol.
$177,831 Vol.
<60%
<1%
60–65%
<1%
65–70%
8%
70–75%
94%
75%+
<1%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70–75% voter turnout at 87% implied probability for Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting historical precedents in competitive races—2022 saw 69% amid a similar GS-SDS contest, while 2018 reached 74%. The razor-thin contest between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), with pre-election polls neck-and-neck and a fragmented field including new entrants like Democrats, spurred high mobilization. Partial counts showed 50.7% turnout by 4pm—elevated versus prior elections—positioning 65–70% as the main alternative at 13%, while extremes remain negligible amid steady reporting. Official State Election Commission confirmation pending.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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