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Economía·NZ

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?

Market icon
Economía·NZ

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?

abr 7

may 27

abr 7

may 27

Sin cambios 99.2%

Aumentar <1%

Disminuir <1%

Polymarket

$28,323 Vol.

Sin cambios 99.2%

Aumentar <1%

Disminuir <1%

Polymarket

$28,323 Vol.

Disminuir

$6,476 Vol.

<1%

Sin cambios

$9,216 Vol.

99%

Aumentar

$12,630 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 99.2% implied probability for the April 8 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the central bank's February guidance holding the OCR steady at 2.25% amid expectations of consumer price index (CPI) inflation returning to the 2% target midpoint over the next year. Despite December 2025 quarterly CPI printing at 3.1% annually—above the 1-3% band—weak fourth-quarter GDP growth of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and persistent economic spare capacity have reinforced accommodative policy stance, with traders pricing minimal risk of adjustment given the RBNZ's revised OCR track projecting stability through mid-2026. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected pre-meeting data like employment figures, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$28,323
Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 99.2% implied probability for the April 8 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the central bank's February guidance holding the OCR steady at 2.25% amid expectations of consumer price index (CPI) inflation returning to the 2% target midpoint over the next year. Despite December 2025 quarterly CPI printing at 3.1% annually—above the 1-3% band—weak fourth-quarter GDP growth of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and persistent economic spare capacity have reinforced accommodative policy stance, with traders pricing minimal risk of adjustment given the RBNZ's revised OCR track projecting stability through mid-2026. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected pre-meeting data like employment figures, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$28,323
Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 99%, seguido de "Aumentar" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?" ha generado $28.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?" es "Sin cambios" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Aumentar" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva Zelanda en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.