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Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?

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Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

150-160mm 64%

160-170mm 14%

180-190mm 8.5%

170-180mm 6.8%

Polymarket
NEW

150-160mm 64%

160-170mm 14%

180-190mm 8.5%

170-180mm 6.8%

Polymarket
NEW

<150mm

$7,047 Vol.

3%

150-160mm

$973 Vol.

64%

160-170mm

$407 Vol.

14%

170-180mm

$264 Vol.

7%

180-190mm

$176 Vol.

9%

190-200mm

$174 Vol.

2%

200mm+

$487 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As March draws to a close, trader consensus heavily favors 150-160mm total precipitation at the Hong Kong Observatory, reflecting cumulative rainfall through March 28 that aligns closely with this bin amid a wetter-than-normal month featuring multiple rain events. A thunderstorm warning issued and cancelled on March 28 added notable daily accumulation, boosting the leader while capping upside for higher outcomes like 160-170mm. Dry forecasts for the final days, consistent with the Observatory's spring outlook for near-normal rainfall, underpin low probabilities for extremes above 170mm or below 150mm, emphasizing limited remaining window for shifts.

As March draws to a close, trader consensus heavily favors 150-160mm total precipitation at the Hong Kong Observatory, reflecting cumulative rainfall through March 28 that aligns closely with this bin amid a wetter-than-normal month featuring multiple rain events. A thunderstorm warning issued and cancelled on March 28 added notable daily accumulation, boosting the leader while capping upside for higher outcomes like 160-170mm. Dry forecasts for the final days, consistent with the Observatory's spring outlook for near-normal rainfall, underpin low probabilities for extremes above 170mm or below 150mm, emphasizing limited remaining window for shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As March draws to a close, trader consensus heavily favors 150-160mm total precipitation at the Hong Kong Observatory, reflecting cumulative rainfall through March 28 that aligns closely with this bin amid a wetter-than-normal month featuring multiple rain events. A thunderstorm warning issued and cancelled on March 28 added notable daily accumulation, boosting the leader while capping upside for higher outcomes like 160-170mm. Dry forecasts for the final days, consistent with the Observatory's spring outlook for near-normal rainfall, underpin low probabilities for extremes above 170mm or below 150mm, emphasizing limited remaining window for shifts.

As March draws to a close, trader consensus heavily favors 150-160mm total precipitation at the Hong Kong Observatory, reflecting cumulative rainfall through March 28 that aligns closely with this bin amid a wetter-than-normal month featuring multiple rain events. A thunderstorm warning issued and cancelled on March 28 added notable daily accumulation, boosting the leader while capping upside for higher outcomes like 160-170mm. Dry forecasts for the final days, consistent with the Observatory's spring outlook for near-normal rainfall, underpin low probabilities for extremes above 170mm or below 150mm, emphasizing limited remaining window for shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "150-160mm" con 64%, seguido de "160-170mm" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 13, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?" es "150-160mm" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "160-170mm" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.