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Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10

Market icon
Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10

Janelle Stelson 89%

Justin Douglas 8%

Jason Cass 2.7%

Michael Robinson <1%

Polymarket

$12,697 Vol.

Janelle Stelson 89%

Justin Douglas 8%

Jason Cass 2.7%

Michael Robinson <1%

Polymarket

$12,697 Vol.

Janelle Stelson

$2,778 Vol.

89%

Justin Douglas

$586 Vol.

8%

Jason Cass

$8,045 Vol.

3%

Michael Robinson

$589 Vol.

1%

William Lillich

$699 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson commands 88.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by her high name recognition from three decades as a TV news anchor, 2024 rematch experience against incumbent Scott Perry, and fundraising surpassing $2 million in 2025—outpacing rivals. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's February "Red to Blue" inclusion bolsters her institutional support, while the field narrowed to challengers like Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas (7.5%), who gained a March 23 endorsement from One PA advocacy group, alongside minor candidates Jason Cass, Michael Robinson, and William Lillich. Absent recent primary polls, traders view Stelson's resource edge and organizational strength as near-insurmountable absent low-turnout surprises or late scandals.

Janelle Stelson commands 88.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by her high name recognition from three decades as a TV news anchor, 2024 rematch experience against incumbent Scott Perry, and fundraising surpassing $2 million in 2025—outpacing rivals. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's February "Red to Blue" inclusion bolsters her institutional support, while the field narrowed to challengers like Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas (7.5%), who gained a March 23 endorsement from One PA advocacy group, alongside minor candidates Jason Cass, Michael Robinson, and William Lillich. Absent recent primary polls, traders view Stelson's resource edge and organizational strength as near-insurmountable absent low-turnout surprises or late scandals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson commands 88.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by her high name recognition from three decades as a TV news anchor, 2024 rematch experience against incumbent Scott Perry, and fundraising surpassing $2 million in 2025—outpacing rivals. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's February "Red to Blue" inclusion bolsters her institutional support, while the field narrowed to challengers like Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas (7.5%), who gained a March 23 endorsement from One PA advocacy group, alongside minor candidates Jason Cass, Michael Robinson, and William Lillich. Absent recent primary polls, traders view Stelson's resource edge and organizational strength as near-insurmountable absent low-turnout surprises or late scandals.

Janelle Stelson commands 88.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by her high name recognition from three decades as a TV news anchor, 2024 rematch experience against incumbent Scott Perry, and fundraising surpassing $2 million in 2025—outpacing rivals. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's February "Red to Blue" inclusion bolsters her institutional support, while the field narrowed to challengers like Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas (7.5%), who gained a March 23 endorsement from One PA advocacy group, alongside minor candidates Jason Cass, Michael Robinson, and William Lillich. Absent recent primary polls, traders view Stelson's resource edge and organizational strength as near-insurmountable absent low-turnout surprises or late scandals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Janelle Stelson" con 89%, seguido de "Justin Douglas" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" ha generado $12.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" es "Janelle Stelson" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Justin Douglas" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata de PA-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.