Trader consensus heavily favors 3.0M-3.2M TSA passengers on April 3 at 74% implied probability, driven by airlines' projections for record spring break volumes averaging 2.8 million daily through April amid robust demand, coupled with Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta's forecast of a single-day record exceeding 115,000 screenings. Recent daily throughputs hovered below 3 million—peaking at 2.76 million on March 29 and dipping to 2.15 million on March 31—suppressed by government shutdown staff callouts up to 50% and four-hour security lines, but a DHS reopening deal announced April 1 has spurred backpay and easing disruptions, fueling optimism for a Friday rebound. Lingering caution keeps <3.0M viable at 43.5%, with official TSA data expected later today as the key resolution catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of TSA Passengers April 3?
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
<3.0M 42.9%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
$5,509 Vol.
$5,509 Vol.
3 abr 2026
<3.0M
43%
3.0M-3.2M
50%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
3.4M-3.6M
1%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
>3.8M
<1%
<3.0M 42.9%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
$5,509 Vol.
$5,509 Vol.
3 abr 2026
<3.0M
$3,247 Vol.
43%
3.0M-3.2M
$135 Vol.
50%
3.2M-3.4M
$488 Vol.
<1%
3.4M-3.6M
$488 Vol.
1%
3.6M-3.8M
$583 Vol.
1%
>3.8M
$567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors 3.0M-3.2M TSA passengers on April 3 at 74% implied probability, driven by airlines' projections for record spring break volumes averaging 2.8 million daily through April amid robust demand, coupled with Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta's forecast of a single-day record exceeding 115,000 screenings. Recent daily throughputs hovered below 3 million—peaking at 2.76 million on March 29 and dipping to 2.15 million on March 31—suppressed by government shutdown staff callouts up to 50% and four-hour security lines, but a DHS reopening deal announced April 1 has spurred backpay and easing disruptions, fueling optimism for a Friday rebound. Lingering caution keeps <3.0M viable at 43.5%, with official TSA data expected later today as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Volumen
$5,509Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors 3.0M-3.2M TSA passengers on April 3 at 74% implied probability, driven by airlines' projections for record spring break volumes averaging 2.8 million daily through April amid robust demand, coupled with Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta's forecast of a single-day record exceeding 115,000 screenings. Recent daily throughputs hovered below 3 million—peaking at 2.76 million on March 29 and dipping to 2.15 million on March 31—suppressed by government shutdown staff callouts up to 50% and four-hour security lines, but a DHS reopening deal announced April 1 has spurred backpay and easing disruptions, fueling optimism for a Friday rebound. Lingering caution keeps <3.0M viable at 43.5%, with official TSA data expected later today as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$5,509Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 3.0M-3.2M TSA passengers on April 3 at 74% implied probability, driven by airlines' projections for record spring break volumes averaging 2.8 million daily through April amid robust demand, coupled with Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta's forecast of a single-day record exceeding 115,000 screenings. Recent daily throughputs hovered below 3 million—peaking at 2.76 million on March 29 and dipping to 2.15 million on March 31—suppressed by government shutdown staff callouts up to 50% and four-hour security lines, but a DHS reopening deal announced April 1 has spurred backpay and easing disruptions, fueling optimism for a Friday rebound. Lingering caution keeps <3.0M viable at 43.5%, with official TSA data expected later today as the key resolution catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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