Tarik Skubal tops trader consensus for the 2026 AL Cy Young at 28% implied probability after his unanimous 2024 award win, leading MLB with an 18-4 record, 2.39 ERA, and 228 strikeouts over 192 innings. Jacob deGrom lurks close at 24.5% on his sharp late-season return from Tommy John surgery, while Hunter Brown's post-All-Star dominance (2.57 ERA, 189 strikeouts) fuels his 20% share amid Astros rotation stability. The bunched top tier—down to Garrett Crochet's 16.5% post-trade to Boston—highlights competitive dynamics driven by injury histories (deGrom, Crochet's workload concerns), free-agency uncertainty for Max Fried, and breakout potential from Joe Ryan, Gavin Williams, and draft standouts like Cam Schlittler. Offseason Winter Meetings trades and arbitration outcomes will likely dictate early momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTarik Skubal 28%
Garrett Crochet 17%
Jacob deGrom 16%
Max Fried 16.1%
Tarik Skubal
28%
Garrett Crochet
17%
Jacob deGrom
16%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
16%
Max Fried
16%
Bryan Woo
14%
Logan Gilbert
14%
Kyle Bradish
11%
Joe Ryan
15%
Ranger Suárez
5%
Nathan Eovaldi
11%
Dylan Cease
10%
George Kirby
12%
Carlos Rodón
10%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo López
2%
Gavin Williams
13%
Bryce Miller
15%
Cam Schlittler
13%
Gerrit Cole
4%
Tarik Skubal 28%
Garrett Crochet 17%
Jacob deGrom 16%
Max Fried 16.1%
Tarik Skubal
28%
Garrett Crochet
17%
Jacob deGrom
16%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
16%
Max Fried
16%
Bryan Woo
14%
Logan Gilbert
14%
Kyle Bradish
11%
Joe Ryan
15%
Ranger Suárez
5%
Nathan Eovaldi
11%
Dylan Cease
10%
George Kirby
12%
Carlos Rodón
10%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo López
2%
Gavin Williams
13%
Bryce Miller
15%
Cam Schlittler
13%
Gerrit Cole
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal tops trader consensus for the 2026 AL Cy Young at 28% implied probability after his unanimous 2024 award win, leading MLB with an 18-4 record, 2.39 ERA, and 228 strikeouts over 192 innings. Jacob deGrom lurks close at 24.5% on his sharp late-season return from Tommy John surgery, while Hunter Brown's post-All-Star dominance (2.57 ERA, 189 strikeouts) fuels his 20% share amid Astros rotation stability. The bunched top tier—down to Garrett Crochet's 16.5% post-trade to Boston—highlights competitive dynamics driven by injury histories (deGrom, Crochet's workload concerns), free-agency uncertainty for Max Fried, and breakout potential from Joe Ryan, Gavin Williams, and draft standouts like Cam Schlittler. Offseason Winter Meetings trades and arbitration outcomes will likely dictate early momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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