Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68% implied probability that CarMax (KMX) will miss its Q4 FY2026 earnings per share (EPS) consensus estimate of $0.19, reflecting persistent weakness in retail used vehicle unit sales—down 8% year-over-year in Q3 amid elevated auto loan rates and affordability pressures curbing demand. Gross profit per retail used unit held at $2,235 in Q3, but volume declines drove a 50% earnings drop, prompting analyst estimate cuts and a "Reduce" rating with targets around $35–$41 versus recent share prices near $41. Starboard Value's March $350 million stake signals activist push for cost efficiencies, yet traders see limited near-term EPS uplift. Upcoming catalyst: Earnings April 14.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Superará Carmax (KMX) las ganancias trimestrales?
¿Superará Carmax (KMX) las ganancias trimestrales?
Sí
Sí
If Carmax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Carmax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Fuente de resolución
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68% implied probability that CarMax (KMX) will miss its Q4 FY2026 earnings per share (EPS) consensus estimate of $0.19, reflecting persistent weakness in retail used vehicle unit sales—down 8% year-over-year in Q3 amid elevated auto loan rates and affordability pressures curbing demand. Gross profit per retail used unit held at $2,235 in Q3, but volume declines drove a 50% earnings drop, prompting analyst estimate cuts and a "Reduce" rating with targets around $35–$41 versus recent share prices near $41. Starboard Value's March $350 million stake signals activist push for cost efficiencies, yet traders see limited near-term EPS uplift. Upcoming catalyst: Earnings April 14.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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