Market icon

Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Market icon

Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$40,982 Vol.

Wisconsin

99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$40,982 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,982
Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Oct 23, 2024, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: Wisconsin

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Wisconsin

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Wisconsin

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,982
Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2024
Mercado abierto
Oct 23, 2024, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: Wisconsin

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Wisconsin

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Wisconsin

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?" ha generado $41K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 23, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?" es "Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.