Following Kamala Harris's defeat as the first female major-party presidential nominee in the 2024 election, early hypothetical polls for the 2028 Democratic primary show male contenders leading, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 74%. Recent Emerson College (early December) and Quantus Insights surveys place California Governor Gavin Newsom atop Democratic voter preferences at 16-23%, ahead of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (8-12%) and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (9-11%), with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also competitive. Post-election analysis highlights Democratic introspection on candidate profiles and path-to-victory strategies amid swing state losses, though the field remains fluid ahead of 2026 midterms and formal campaigning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Será mujer la candidata presidencial demócrata de 2028?
¿Será mujer la candidata presidencial demócrata de 2028?
Sí
NEW
NEW
Nov 7, 2028
Sí
NEW
NEW
Nov 7, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Kamala Harris's defeat as the first female major-party presidential nominee in the 2024 election, early hypothetical polls for the 2028 Democratic primary show male contenders leading, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 74%. Recent Emerson College (early December) and Quantus Insights surveys place California Governor Gavin Newsom atop Democratic voter preferences at 16-23%, ahead of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (8-12%) and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (9-11%), with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also competitive. Post-election analysis highlights Democratic introspection on candidate profiles and path-to-victory strategies amid swing state losses, though the field remains fluid ahead of 2026 midterms and formal campaigning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Kamala Harris's defeat as the first female major-party presidential nominee in the 2024 election, early hypothetical polls for the 2028 Democratic primary show male contenders leading, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 74%. Recent Emerson College (early December) and Quantus Insights surveys place California Governor Gavin Newsom atop Democratic voter preferences at 16-23%, ahead of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (8-12%) and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (9-11%), with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also competitive. Post-election analysis highlights Democratic introspection on candidate profiles and path-to-victory strategies amid swing state losses, though the field remains fluid ahead of 2026 midterms and formal campaigning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following Kamala Harris's defeat as the first female major-party presidential nominee in the 2024 election, early hypothetical polls for the 2028 Democratic primary show male contenders leading, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 74%. Recent Emerson College (early December) and Quantus Insights surveys place California Governor Gavin Newsom atop Democratic voter preferences at 16-23%, ahead of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (8-12%) and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (9-11%), with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also competitive. Post-election analysis highlights Democratic introspection on candidate profiles and path-to-victory strategies amid swing state losses, though the field remains fluid ahead of 2026 midterms and formal campaigning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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