Market icon

¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?

Market icon

¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

400-500 mil 30%

300,000-400,000 29%

200-300 mil 14%

500-600 mil 8%

Polymarket
NEW

400-500 mil 30%

300,000-400,000 29%

200-300 mil 14%

500-600 mil 8%

Polymarket
NEW

<200k

$0 Vol.

4%

200-300 mil

$0 Vol.

14%

300,000-400,000

$0 Vol.

29%

400-500 mil

$0 Vol.

30%

500-600 mil

$0 Vol.

8%

600-700k

$0 Vol.

4%

700-800 mil

$0 Vol.

2%

800-900 mil

$0 Vol.

2%

900k-1m

$0 Vol.

2%

>1 millón

$0 Vol.

4%

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "400-500 mil" at 30%, followed by "300,000-400,000" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?" is "400-500 mil" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "300,000-400,000" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Cuántas personas deportará Trump en 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.