¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más habrá en 2026?
11–13 39%
14–16 22%
17–19 15%
8–10 13%
$349,833 Vol.
$349,833 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$78,228 Vol.
2%
<5
$78,228 Vol.
2%
5–7
$33,449 Vol.
3%
5–7
$33,449 Vol.
3%
8–10
$28,388 Vol.
13%
8–10
$28,388 Vol.
13%
11–13
$80,360 Vol.
39%
11–13
$80,360 Vol.
39%
14–16
$23,288 Vol.
22%
14–16
$23,288 Vol.
22%
17–19
$83,170 Vol.
15%
17–19
$83,170 Vol.
15%
20+
$22,949 Vol.
8%
20+
$22,949 Vol.
8%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Creado en: Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
Volumen
$349,833Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Creado en
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más habrá en 2026?
11–13 39%
14–16 22%
17–19 15%
8–10 13%
$349,833 Vol.
$349,833 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$78,228 Vol.
2%
5–7
$33,449 Vol.
3%
8–10
$28,388 Vol.
13%
11–13
$80,360 Vol.
39%
14–16
$23,288 Vol.
22%
17–19
$83,170 Vol.
15%
20+
$22,949 Vol.
8%
Acerca de
Volumen
$349,833Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Creado en
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.