Market icon

¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más habrá en 2026?

Dec 31

11–13 39%

14–16 22%

17–19 16%

8–10 13%

$348,526 Vol.

Reglas

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volumen
$348,526
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Creado en
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más habrá en 2026?

Dec 31

11–13 39%

14–16 22%

17–19 16%

8–10 13%

$348,526 Vol.

<5

$76,926 Vol.

1%

5–7

$33,449 Vol.

3%

8–10

$28,388 Vol.

13%

11–13

$80,355 Vol.

39%

14–16

$23,288 Vol.

22%

17–19

$83,170 Vol.

16%

20+

$22,949 Vol.

8%

Acerca de

Volumen
$348,526
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Creado en
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.