Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$118,857 Vol.
$118,857 Vol.
17 abr 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$118,857 Vol.
$118,857 Vol.
17 abr 2026
22°C or below
$1,442 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,364 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,067 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,328 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,591 Vol.
No
27°C
$18,906 Vol.
No
28°C
$33,581 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,944 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,984 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,606 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$8,042 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$118,857Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$118,857Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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