Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C on April 18, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official observation confirming this peak under clear skies and light winds. Hourly surface measurements at key stations, including Chongqing's primary reporting site, recorded sustained highs around 31°C during midday, aligning with updated GFS and ECMWF model runs that anticipated mid-30s potential but were tempered by dry air subsidence and urban heat moderation. April climatology typically sees Chongqing daytime highs of 22–28°C, with this outcome fitting recent warming trends amid neutral ENSO conditions. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—resolution appears final, with no further CMA updates expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$77,395 Vol.
$77,395 Vol.
18 abr 2026
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$77,395 Vol.
$77,395 Vol.
18 abr 2026
31°C
$16,457 Vol.
100%
32°C
$9,504 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C on April 18, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official observation confirming this peak under clear skies and light winds. Hourly surface measurements at key stations, including Chongqing's primary reporting site, recorded sustained highs around 31°C during midday, aligning with updated GFS and ECMWF model runs that anticipated mid-30s potential but were tempered by dry air subsidence and urban heat moderation. April climatology typically sees Chongqing daytime highs of 22–28°C, with this outcome fitting recent warming trends amid neutral ENSO conditions. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—resolution appears final, with no further CMA updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$77,395Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C on April 18, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official observation confirming this peak under clear skies and light winds. Hourly surface measurements at key stations, including Chongqing's primary reporting site, recorded sustained highs around 31°C during midday, aligning with updated GFS and ECMWF model runs that anticipated mid-30s potential but were tempered by dry air subsidence and urban heat moderation. April climatology typically sees Chongqing daytime highs of 22–28°C, with this outcome fitting recent warming trends amid neutral ENSO conditions. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—resolution appears final, with no further CMA updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$77,395Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C on April 18, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official observation confirming this peak under clear skies and light winds. Hourly surface measurements at key stations, including Chongqing's primary reporting site, recorded sustained highs around 31°C during midday, aligning with updated GFS and ECMWF model runs that anticipated mid-30s potential but were tempered by dry air subsidence and urban heat moderation. April climatology typically sees Chongqing daytime highs of 22–28°C, with this outcome fitting recent warming trends amid neutral ENSO conditions. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—resolution appears final, with no further CMA updates expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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