National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high of 81°F for Austin on April 9, 2026, at official stations like Camp Mabry, driven by southeasterly winds fostering diurnal heating amid mostly cloudy skies and light moisture inflow. Observational data from Camp Mabry shows morning lows near 66°F warming to 70°F by noon, tracking model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that project peaks in the low 80s despite a 40% chance of afternoon showers. This robust evidence underpins trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting historical spring norms around 79°F. Realistic challenges include early heavy thunderstorms or persistent marine stratus capping heating below 74°F, though current guidance deems these low-risk; hourly updates from NWS will refine intraday trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 9 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 9 de abril?
74°F o más 100.0%
55°F o menos <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$31,600 Vol.
$31,600 Vol.
9 abr 2026
55°F o menos
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F o más
Sí
74°F o más 100.0%
55°F o menos <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$31,600 Vol.
$31,600 Vol.
9 abr 2026
55°F o menos
$1,496 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,813 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$804 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,749 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,095 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,006 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,653 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,437 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,261 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$7,129 Vol.
No
74°F o más
$7,157 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high of 81°F for Austin on April 9, 2026, at official stations like Camp Mabry, driven by southeasterly winds fostering diurnal heating amid mostly cloudy skies and light moisture inflow. Observational data from Camp Mabry shows morning lows near 66°F warming to 70°F by noon, tracking model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that project peaks in the low 80s despite a 40% chance of afternoon showers. This robust evidence underpins trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting historical spring norms around 79°F. Realistic challenges include early heavy thunderstorms or persistent marine stratus capping heating below 74°F, though current guidance deems these low-risk; hourly updates from NWS will refine intraday trajectories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$31,600Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high of 81°F for Austin on April 9, 2026, at official stations like Camp Mabry, driven by southeasterly winds fostering diurnal heating amid mostly cloudy skies and light moisture inflow. Observational data from Camp Mabry shows morning lows near 66°F warming to 70°F by noon, tracking model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that project peaks in the low 80s despite a 40% chance of afternoon showers. This robust evidence underpins trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting historical spring norms around 79°F. Realistic challenges include early heavy thunderstorms or persistent marine stratus capping heating below 74°F, though current guidance deems these low-risk; hourly updates from NWS will refine intraday trajectories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,600Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high of 81°F for Austin on April 9, 2026, at official stations like Camp Mabry, driven by southeasterly winds fostering diurnal heating amid mostly cloudy skies and light moisture inflow. Observational data from Camp Mabry shows morning lows near 66°F warming to 70°F by noon, tracking model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that project peaks in the low 80s despite a 40% chance of afternoon showers. This robust evidence underpins trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting historical spring norms around 79°F. Realistic challenges include early heavy thunderstorms or persistent marine stratus capping heating below 74°F, though current guidance deems these low-risk; hourly updates from NWS will refine intraday trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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