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Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

84-85°F 27%

82-83°F 25%

78-79°F 17%

80-81°F 17%

Polymarket
NEW

84-85°F 27%

82-83°F 25%

78-79°F 17%

80-81°F 17%

Polymarket
NEW

75°F or below

$5 Vol.

7%

76-77°F

$1 Vol.

10%

78-79°F

$0 Vol.

17%

80-81°F

$0 Vol.

17%

82-83°F

$0 Vol.

25%

84-85°F

$11 Vol.

27%

86-87°F

$0 Vol.

17%

88-89°F

$1 Vol.

14%

90-91°F

$5 Vol.

13%

92-93°F

$9 Vol.

4%

94°F or higher

$368 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 82-85°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for continued above-normal warmth under breezy southerly winds and an upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching 88°F on March 30 amid Central Texas's record warm March. Differentiating factors include model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs on mid-week cloud cover and isolated shower risks ahead of an approaching cold front, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if convective activity increases or allowing 86-87°F under clearer skies. Normal early April highs hover near 77°F; watch evening forecast updates for refined guidance on timing and coverage.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 82-85°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for continued above-normal warmth under breezy southerly winds and an upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching 88°F on March 30 amid Central Texas's record warm March. Differentiating factors include model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs on mid-week cloud cover and isolated shower risks ahead of an approaching cold front, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if convective activity increases or allowing 86-87°F under clearer skies. Normal early April highs hover near 77°F; watch evening forecast updates for refined guidance on timing and coverage.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 82-85°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for continued above-normal warmth under breezy southerly winds and an upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching 88°F on March 30 amid Central Texas's record warm March. Differentiating factors include model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs on mid-week cloud cover and isolated shower risks ahead of an approaching cold front, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if convective activity increases or allowing 86-87°F under clearer skies. Normal early April highs hover near 77°F; watch evening forecast updates for refined guidance on timing and coverage.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 82-85°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for continued above-normal warmth under breezy southerly winds and an upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching 88°F on March 30 amid Central Texas's record warm March. Differentiating factors include model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs on mid-week cloud cover and isolated shower risks ahead of an approaching cold front, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if convective activity increases or allowing 86-87°F under clearer skies. Normal early April highs hover near 77°F; watch evening forecast updates for refined guidance on timing and coverage.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "84-85°F" con 27%, seguido de "82-83°F" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?" es "84-85°F" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "82-83°F" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.