Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects caution for gold (GC) surpassing $5,500 by June 30, 2026, with Yes shares at 28% for that threshold and lower for higher bins like $6,000 (11%), driven by March 2026's 13% plunge—gold's worst monthly drop in nearly 20 years—amid a hawkish Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75%, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, and U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strength around 100. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows provide structural support, aligning with bullish bank forecasts toward $5,000-$6,200, yet fading rate-cut bets cap near-term upside. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, FOMC meetings April 28-29 and June 16-17, and nonfarm payrolls data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
$3,333,841 Vol.
30 jun 2026
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $8,500
2%
↑ $9,000
2%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
3%
↑ $6,500
5%
↑ $6,200
9%
↑ $6,000
11%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
29%
↓ $4,200
40%
↓ $3,800
13%
↓ $3,400
5%
$3,333,841 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$130,943 Vol.
1%
↑ $8,500
$221,776 Vol.
2%
↑ $9,000
$95,393 Vol.
2%
↑ $8,000
$296,641 Vol.
3%
↑ $7,000
$405,960 Vol.
3%
↑ $6,500
$194,021 Vol.
5%
↑ $6,200
$77,360 Vol.
9%
↑ $6,000
$236,094 Vol.
11%
↑ $5,700
$54,775 Vol.
21%
↑ $5,500
$961,289 Vol.
29%
↓ $4,200
$213,343 Vol.
40%
↓ $3,800
$55,434 Vol.
13%
↓ $3,400
$337,918 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects caution for gold (GC) surpassing $5,500 by June 30, 2026, with Yes shares at 28% for that threshold and lower for higher bins like $6,000 (11%), driven by March 2026's 13% plunge—gold's worst monthly drop in nearly 20 years—amid a hawkish Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75%, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, and U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strength around 100. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows provide structural support, aligning with bullish bank forecasts toward $5,000-$6,200, yet fading rate-cut bets cap near-term upside. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, FOMC meetings April 28-29 and June 16-17, and nonfarm payrolls data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$3,333,841Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects caution for gold (GC) surpassing $5,500 by June 30, 2026, with Yes shares at 28% for that threshold and lower for higher bins like $6,000 (11%), driven by March 2026's 13% plunge—gold's worst monthly drop in nearly 20 years—amid a hawkish Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75%, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, and U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strength around 100. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows provide structural support, aligning with bullish bank forecasts toward $5,000-$6,200, yet fading rate-cut bets cap near-term upside. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, FOMC meetings April 28-29 and June 16-17, and nonfarm payrolls data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$3,333,841Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects caution for gold (GC) surpassing $5,500 by June 30, 2026, with Yes shares at 28% for that threshold and lower for higher bins like $6,000 (11%), driven by March 2026's 13% plunge—gold's worst monthly drop in nearly 20 years—amid a hawkish Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75%, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, and U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strength around 100. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows provide structural support, aligning with bullish bank forecasts toward $5,000-$6,200, yet fading rate-cut bets cap near-term upside. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, FOMC meetings April 28-29 and June 16-17, and nonfarm payrolls data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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