Trader consensus heavily favors Belgium at 69.5% implied probability to win Group G, reflecting their top-10 FIFA ranking, deep squad with players like Kevin De Bruyne prioritizing fitness ahead of the tournament, and a dominant 5-2 friendly victory over the USA on March 28 that showcased attacking prowess and momentum just days ago. Egypt holds 21% as a credible challenger, bolstered by Mohamed Salah's ongoing form and Egypt's strong Africa Cup of Nations results in January, positioning the Pharaohs for a potential top-two finish despite historical World Cup struggles. Iran's slim 3.6% stems from persistent uncertainty over participation amid geopolitical tensions and conflicting statements on boycotting U.S.-hosted matches, while New Zealand lags at 2.5% as the group's lowest-ranked side with limited international pedigree.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoBélgica 70%
Egipto 21%
Irán 3.7%
Nueva Zelanda 2.6%
$22,503 Vol.
$22,503 Vol.
Bélgica
70%
Egipto
21%
Irán
4%
Nueva Zelanda
3%
Bélgica 70%
Egipto 21%
Irán 3.7%
Nueva Zelanda 2.6%
$22,503 Vol.
$22,503 Vol.
Bélgica
70%
Egipto
21%
Irán
4%
Nueva Zelanda
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Belgium at 69.5% implied probability to win Group G, reflecting their top-10 FIFA ranking, deep squad with players like Kevin De Bruyne prioritizing fitness ahead of the tournament, and a dominant 5-2 friendly victory over the USA on March 28 that showcased attacking prowess and momentum just days ago. Egypt holds 21% as a credible challenger, bolstered by Mohamed Salah's ongoing form and Egypt's strong Africa Cup of Nations results in January, positioning the Pharaohs for a potential top-two finish despite historical World Cup struggles. Iran's slim 3.6% stems from persistent uncertainty over participation amid geopolitical tensions and conflicting statements on boycotting U.S.-hosted matches, while New Zealand lags at 2.5% as the group's lowest-ranked side with limited international pedigree.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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