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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 14.2%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$54,625,517 Vol.

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 14.2%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$54,625,517 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,863,172 Vol.

36%

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Francia

$1,427,833 Vol.

14%

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Dinamarca

$957,923 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,208,173 Vol.

7%

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Grecia

$1,326,780 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,244,384 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$949,896 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,138,786 Vol.

2%

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Italia

$1,546,794 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$913,876 Vol.

2%

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Chequia

$820,185 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,127,152 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,032,261 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,119,521 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$899,949 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,033,819 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,257,940 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$949,847 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,200,855 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,305,883 Vol.

1%

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Lituania

$1,932,944 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,308,616 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$716,672 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,138,447 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,212,859 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,623,269 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,189,309 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,411,267 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,174,375 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,550,705 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,279,938 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,779,026 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,983,684 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$816,195 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,187,188 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following its commanding UMK win on February 28, blending jury-pleasing violin prowess with massive televote energy reminiscent of past Nordic hits. France's 14.1% trails closely after 17-year-old soprano Monroe's "Regarde!" reveal on March 6, drawing heavy bets on her rising star power and vocal flair. Denmark at 10.2% benefits from Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive "Før vi går hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix, while Australia (6.6%) leverages Delta Goodrem's established draw with "Eclipse." Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas adds buzz, but trader consensus favors early standouts amid ongoing national finals, with Vienna semis on May 12-14 as key tests.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$54,625,517
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following its commanding UMK win on February 28, blending jury-pleasing violin prowess with massive televote energy reminiscent of past Nordic hits. France's 14.1% trails closely after 17-year-old soprano Monroe's "Regarde!" reveal on March 6, drawing heavy bets on her rising star power and vocal flair. Denmark at 10.2% benefits from Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive "Før vi går hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix, while Australia (6.6%) leverages Delta Goodrem's established draw with "Eclipse." Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas adds buzz, but trader consensus favors early standouts amid ongoing national finals, with Vienna semis on May 12-14 as key tests.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$54,625,517
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 36%, seguido de "Francia" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $54.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.