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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 13.4%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$52,332,100 Vol.

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 13.4%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$52,332,100 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,847,869 Vol.

36%

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Francia

$1,398,746 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$920,196 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,189,791 Vol.

7%

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Grecia

$1,303,522 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,222,380 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$933,306 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,107,427 Vol.

2%

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Italia

$1,510,351 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$882,887 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,115,636 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,008,441 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$784,636 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,109,832 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,085,658 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$886,614 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,021,313 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$940,113 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,252,241 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,214,113 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$715,037 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,282,135 Vol.

1%

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Polonia

$1,971,808 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,010,203 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,512,425 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,088,276 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,104,031 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,300,446 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,074,569 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,450,191 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,186,506 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,586,044 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,682,360 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$790,111 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,846,531 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 after dominating the UMK national final with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," securing top jury and televote scores that propelled odds higher post-release in mid-March. France's Monroe follows at 13.4% with the catchy "Look!," buoyed by strong critical buzz and OGAE fan votes awarding Finland 12 points but elevating French campaign momentum. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund climbs to 10.3%, reflecting robust national selection reception and upward betting shifts over the past week. With Vienna semis on May 12 and 14 and final on 16, additional national finals and full song reveals could reshape this early frontrunner landscape, where televote powerhouses like Israel loom as upset threats.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$52,332,100
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 after dominating the UMK national final with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," securing top jury and televote scores that propelled odds higher post-release in mid-March. France's Monroe follows at 13.4% with the catchy "Look!," buoyed by strong critical buzz and OGAE fan votes awarding Finland 12 points but elevating French campaign momentum. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund climbs to 10.3%, reflecting robust national selection reception and upward betting shifts over the past week. With Vienna semis on May 12 and 14 and final on 16, additional national finals and full song reveals could reshape this early frontrunner landscape, where televote powerhouses like Israel loom as upset threats.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$52,332,100
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 36%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $52.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.