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Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

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Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

$415,869 Vol.

12 may 2026
Polymarket

$415,869 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finlandia

$328,625 Vol.

98%

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Suecia

$1,540 Vol.

95%

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Israel

$19,583 Vol.

94%

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Grecia

$4,130 Vol.

94%

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Moldavia

$1,439 Vol.

85%

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Serbia

$1,452 Vol.

78%

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Croacia

$3,605 Vol.

76%

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Lituania

$2,591 Vol.

69%

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Polonia

$7,240 Vol.

52%

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Bélgica

$6,233 Vol.

51%

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Georgia

$166 Vol.

50%

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Montenegro

$1,414 Vol.

54%

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Portugal

$30,880 Vol.

32%

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Estonia

$1,848 Vol.

23%

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San Marino

$5,122 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, positioning powerhouse Sweden's Felicia ("My System") early at slot 2 behind Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, potentially aiding strong starts that historically boost qualification odds. Frontrunners like Finland, Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda") lead implied probabilities on betting markets due to critical buzz from national finals, potent staging previews, and Nordic/Balkan televote strength, though jury preferences remain unpredictable. With 15 entrants vying for 10 Grand Final spots on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, focus shifts to upcoming rehearsals and pre-parties, where live polish could swing close races for Portugal, Georgia, and dark horses like Belgium.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$415,869
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, positioning powerhouse Sweden's Felicia ("My System") early at slot 2 behind Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, potentially aiding strong starts that historically boost qualification odds. Frontrunners like Finland, Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda") lead implied probabilities on betting markets due to critical buzz from national finals, potent staging previews, and Nordic/Balkan televote strength, though jury preferences remain unpredictable. With 15 entrants vying for 10 Grand Final spots on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, focus shifts to upcoming rehearsals and pre-parties, where live polish could swing close races for Portugal, Georgia, and dark horses like Belgium.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$415,869
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 98%, seguido de "Suecia" con 95%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" ha generado $415.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" es "Finlandia" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Suecia" con 95%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.