With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal
Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal
$408,929 Vol.
12 may 2026
Finlandia
95%
Suecia
94%
Grecia
94%
Israel
88%
Moldavia
82%
Croacia
82%
Serbia
67%
Lituania
66%
Polonia
55%
Montenegro
55%
Georgia
45%
Bélgica
50%
Portugal
32%
Estonia
20%
San Marino
12%
$408,929 Vol.
Finlandia
$326,399 Vol.
95%
Suecia
$1,255 Vol.
94%
Grecia
$3,967 Vol.
94%
Israel
$19,519 Vol.
88%
Moldavia
$0 Vol.
82%
Croacia
$2,256 Vol.
82%
Serbia
$837 Vol.
67%
Lituania
$2,309 Vol.
66%
Polonia
$7,153 Vol.
55%
Montenegro
$1,414 Vol.
55%
Georgia
$166 Vol.
45%
Bélgica
$6,160 Vol.
50%
Portugal
$30,880 Vol.
32%
Estonia
$1,568 Vol.
20%
San Marino
$5,045 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volumen
$408,929Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$408,929Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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